Recently, the news that Vietnam's export volume exceeded Shenzhen's in the last quarter has aroused the discussion of the majority of netizens, and has been trending for two days. Many news mentioned that foreign investors chase Vietnamese enterprises and create new economic myths. And I want to say something about this:
First, the withdrawal of foreign businessmen from Our country to Vietnam, in fact, is the problem of cheap Vietnamese labor.
Some of the equipment has to be imported, and some of the equipment is also produced domestically. After the withdrawal, we just have no orders for external processing, but we are still doing export orders and domestic orders.
From this point of view, Vietnam takes part of the order, it doesn't have much impact on our economy as a whole, it only affects a small part of our economy, of course, some OEM factories do have an impact.
Second, Vietnam's export exceeded Shenzhen's in the last quarter. Actually, the data is somewhat misplaced.
In the first quarter of 2022, from January to the end of March, let's review what Shenzhen did during the three months:
Starting from the New Year's Day of 2022, The nucleic acid for all the people was opened 6 times in Shenzhen in the whole January. It was not until January 26, 2022 that Shenzhen picked the star and went back for the Spring Festival. The production capacity of this month really couldn't keep up.
The second wave will start on January 31, 2022, and another wave of nucleic acid will come to Shenzhen. This time, the nucleic acid started in Bao 'an and will last until around January 20. In addition, this month is the Spring Festival, and the production capacity is even lower.
The third wave of the epidemic in Shenzhen in 2022 started on March 8, 2022 and lasted until the end of March 2022. This month, there was an unprecedented wave of lockdown in Shenzhen.
With three waves of the epidemic in shenzhen in three months, it seems quite normal for Vietnam to be super. If the next wave of propaganda is to be done, I suggest that in the second quarter Vietnam's exports exceed Shanghai's, this wave of Vietnam will certainly win.
Third, from the 1980s to the present, we have proved that the pursuit of foreign investment does not mean the rise of the country.
At present, it is too early to say that the factories with foreign investment will rise. Some things are easier to ask god than to send god. It is true that in a short period of time, it can have an impact on the domestic economy, but in the future, it will be very passive. We have been through this before, and we know very well.
True rise is self-imposed confidence. Vietnam's economic development can indeed give its people a good life for a period of time and improve the happiness of its people. However, to talk about development can not be explained by a few months of reports.